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MEETING SUMMARY
SEPTEMBER 10, 2007
WIND POWER TASK FORCE MEETING
I. Review of question framing the discussion; meeting goals.
Chair Alec Giffen welcomed those in attendance and outlined meeting's basic purpose and focus: presentation of information on key issues regarding development of wind power at the utility and community scales and related regional energy issues. As context for considering presentations to follow, Mr. Giffen restated the basic question identified by the Task Force at its July 20th meeting as a means to identify and assess potential barriers to wind energy development: Can 1000MW or 2000MW of wind power be developed in Maine without unreasonable impacts? In response to a question, Mr. Giffen clarified that these 1000MW and 2000MW figures are simply benchmarks set for purposes of analysis, not proposed targets or limits on wind power in Maine, and that the Task Force may determine more or less wind energy development would be appropriate. Mr. Giffen noted that the 2005 PUC study suggests 1000MW of wind could be economically developed in Maine.
II. Panel on Utility Scale Development
Mr. Kearns focused his presentation on ideas that would facilitate development of 1000MW or more of wind power in Maine. Mr. Kearns emphasized that his overall message is that the State consider ways to control risks and reduce uncertainty regarding wind energy development and thus attract additional investment. Mr. Kearns observed that there is evident interest in investment in Maine's wind power resource and the question is whether that interest will be maintained.
In response to a question, Mr. Zimmerman explained that technological changes, such as increased tower heights and turbine generating capacity and design changes, allow increased energy production at lower wind speeds and elevations, making wind projects economic in more places. Mr. Zimmerman also observed that roadways and other transportation infrastructure capacities place practical limits on turbine and tower sizes.
Mr. Kearns estimated that creation of 1000MW of wind generation in Maine would represent about $2 billion of investment in the state. Such an investment, he suggested, would stimulate growth in the State's "green economy" as consultants and other professionals are needed to service the industry and new careers building, operating and maintaining wind facilities and potential related manufacturing opportunities become available. Mr. Kearns emphasized the need to recognize that within his and other energy development firms there is competition for funds available for investment in potential projects around the country. Mr. Kearns mentioned his company's potential interest in supporting university-level training and education to support the wind industry.
Mr. Kearns discussed the following as potential means to facilitate wind energy development in Maine:
Mr. Zimmerman focused his presentation on the issues of where, how, and why wind power is viable in New England. Mr. Zimmerman noted that he has twenty years of experience helping developers find suitable sites and obtain permits for wind power projects in Massachusetts, Vermont, New Hampshire and New York.
Mr. Zimmerman discussed the following as key conditions needed to successfully site and develop wind power projects:
III. Small Scale Wind Development Panel
Mr. Kreisman prefaced his presentation by noting that his remarks derive in part from a 2005 study regarding the economic potential for community-scale wind development on which he collaborated with Gore Flynn and others, and expressed his interest in gauging the Task Force's interest in addressing community wind issues.
Mr. Kreisman outlined the following as the key points of his presentation:
Mr. Kresiman cited the following as among the main reasons why the Task Force should focus its efforts in part on community wind:
Mr. Kreisman explained that Maine's current statutory definition of a community wind project (in Maine's Wind Energy Act), which relates to eligibility for a personal property tax exemption and covers projects with a capacity 10MW or less, may bear further consideration as the Task Force explores options for facilitating community wind projects. Mr. Kreisman identified two current PUC rules as providing economic incentives for community wind projects: net billing (allowing some producers to receive retail price for their power by offsetting metered charges by sending unused power to the grid), with a 100kw limit (ch.313); and aggregation (allowing some small producers to assign their output to a utility for sale), with a 5MW limit (ch.315). In response to questions and discussion regarding prior legislative consideration and concern about expansion of net billing and thus socializing costs to the grid as a whole, Mr. Kreisman suggested it may be useful to investigate the experience of states that have raised the net billing to 2 or 3MW.
Providing an overview of community scale wind activity in Maine, Mr. Kreisman emphasized the following points:
Mr. Kreisman outlined the following as among the major impediments to siting community wind projects in Maine:
In response to a question about where community wind appears to be working well, Mr. Kreisman, noting Minnesota's guaranteed tariff rate as a possible example, suggested focus on targeted steps Maine might take to address identified issues as opposed looking for a model elsewhere. In response to a comment, Mr. Flynn concurred that it might be useful for the Task Force to consider the Massachusetts Technology Collaborative's approach to funding support for community wind projects.
A consultant with experience working on energy investment matters, Mr. Flynn explained that he is currently working on contract to Coastal Enterprises, Inc., (CEI) on a project involving options for use of renewable energy by schools to increase independence and control costs. Mr. Flynn explained that under the new pricing tariffs small scale wind projects are becoming feasible for schools and other community-scale users. Mr. Flynn noted the following as distinguishing features of community scale projects:
Using the CEI school project as a case study, Mr. Flynn discussed the following topics in relation to impediments and options to improve potential for siting community scale projects [note: Mr. Flynn prepared a handout summarizing these points which is available on the project website] :
A professor at Harvard Business School and a member of the Swans Island Electrical Co-op board of directors, Prof. Baker presented information on a preliminary analysis of the economics of Co-op's installation and operation of a small wind turbine on Swans Island. Serving about 400 (year round) to 1000 (total in summer) customers on Swans and Frenchboro Islands, the customer-owned Co-op is exploring options for developing a wind power plant to address high energy prices. With the aid of visual presentation (available on the Task Force's website), Prof. Baker explained that the analysis uses real data, assumes use of a 600kW, Hull 1-type machine, and looks at six possible development sites. Prof. Baker identified the following as among the key points to be gleaned from the simulation:
Prof. Baker noted that debt financing is a problem for projects of this type. The Co-op, for example has about $1.3 million in assets - less than the cost of the project analyzed - and thus correspondingly limited options for debt financing. Despite the challenges identified, Prof. Baker suggested the economics of the project looked quite promising and that host community appears favorable to idea, due in part to opportunities for resulting decreases in electricity bills. In response to a question, Prof. Baker concurred that a wind project may be more acceptable locally if it is community owned, enhances community sustainability, and provides tangible local benefits. Prof. Baker noted that the project would have no transmission related issues since the existing network is sized to handle the project. The major issues he identified concern large "soft costs" (assessments, planning, etc.) and capacity for project management. Prof. Baker noted that the Co-op is currently doing wind speed and resource assessment, pursuing possible development sites and continuing community outreach and education efforts.
Prof. Baker identified the following as among the key issues to address to help facilitate community scale wind projects:
In response to a question, Mitch Tannenbaum clarified that there are about 12 community owned electric coops in Maine serving a small number of customers.
IV. Wind in the Context of Regional Markets
Commissioner Adams outlined wind power related aspects of ISO NE's recently issued scenario planning document (New England Electricity Scenario Analysis, ISO NE (August 2, 2007). Commissioner Adams began his remarks by encouraging the Task Force to invite a presentation by ISO NE if it desires to consider scenario planning issues in more detail.
Commissioner Adams explained that the scenario analysis considers a range of means to meet projected power supply needs out to 2017. He pointed out that it includes the assumption that there will be no change in fossil fuel (e.g., oil and gas) prices over this period: unable to agree on how to estimate such prices, participants in this scenario planning exercise agreed to use this patently unreasonable criterion for all scenarios. Commissioner Littell observed that there are a number of assumptions in the analysis, e.g., use of $40/ton carbon-allowance sensitivity case (see Table 3.1, column G), with which states are not in agreement.
Commissioner Adams highlighted the following conclusions of the scenario analysis as particularly germane to the Task Force's work:
In summary, Commissioner Adams emphasized that ISO NE's most recent scenario analysis shows that increased wind power is needed as a component of the state and regional energy in mix to help meet RGGI and RPS targets and help reduce energy prices. He further noted that increased wind power capacity alone will not be adequate to address RGGI's carbon dioxide reduction goals.
In response to a question, Commissioner Adams clarified that ISO NE's analyses are not based on assumptions that existing power plants will go off-line. He noted that, in general, it is cheaper to keep existing power plants running rather than decommission them, with the proviso that emerging combined cycle technologies can sometimes create exceptions to this rule of thumb.
Commissioner Adams also provided an overview of how the regional energy market operates. He explained the "day ahead" market (which requires most generators to bid and sell power they intend produce for the next day) and "real-time" market (which allows for real time sale of energy that's found to be needed based on minute by minute adjustments); and that generators must buy power to cover their day ahead obligations in excess of what they produce at the real time price or are paid the real time price for amounts generated above their day ahead bid. The real time prices may prove to be higher or lower than the day-ahead price. To help address wind power's intermittence issues (the fact that power's only available when the wind blows, and that can't be predicted with the same level of certainty as other types of generation), ISO NE rules allow wind power generators to participate in the real time market only. For this and related reasons, Commissioner Adams explained, in response to a question, it is safe to assume for purposes of the Task Force's inquiry that if wind power is generated it will be sold and used.
Following up on questions regarding sale of power, Commissioner Adams outlined ISO NE's "reverse Dutch auction" bid process. In this process, he explained the last unit of energy added to address power needs in every hour, the unit on the margin, determines the price paid to generators for power produced in that hour. Thus, the highest priced energy, the last to be used to meet demand, determines the price paid. He reemphasized that under all of the scenarios outlined in ISO NE's report (discussed above) natural gas is the fuel on the margin and thus drives regional energy prices.
Commissioner Adams provided an overview and context to assist the Task Force in considering transmission congestion issues. He noted that in order to connect to the grid generators must meet minimum interconnection standards, the fundamental purpose of which is to ensure safety and prevent damage to the grid and to prevent degradation of the system's capability to transfer electricity. He observed that the consequences of requiring new generators to meet minimum interconnection standards include avoidance of overbuilding the system as well as competition for available transmission capacity which results in congestion at times and related price differentials. Commissioner Adams pointed out that while energy investment tends to focus on areas where prices are high, wind energy development needs to occur where the resource is, which in Maine is rather distant from southern New England markets. As a result, economic issues arise since significant investment may be needed to bring wind generated energy to market.
Commissioner Adams indicated that PUC, in considering options to build additional transmission facilities to the south, would need to ensure that ratepayers are not unduly burdened. By way of illustration of some of the complexities and issues to be considered regarding construction of additional transmission facilities out of Maine, he noted the potential for inequitably burdening Maine ratepayers with costs of additional transmission built to serve power needs outside of Maine and, by facilitating export of wind power to areas where prices are higher, triggering the need to operate the dirtiest plants on peak demand days in summer when wind power isn't as available. Given the many and varied implications and concurrent efforts underway to evaluate and development recommendations, Commissioner Adams advised the Task Force to allow the regions PUCs, ISO NE and FERC to take the lead role in addressing regional transmission congestion issues.
In response to a question, Commissioner Adams clarified that developers are responsible for the costs of "generator leads" to connect to the grid. He suggested that in addressing issues regarding long generator leads needed for some wind power projects the Task Force should leave details regarding cost-allocation and potential subsidies to utility regulators.
Responding to questions regarding the effects of transmission congestion, Commissioner Adams explained that existing transmission constraints tend to keep additional power in Maine at times of high demand that might otherwise be exported. Thus, congestion serves to keep electricity prices about 8% lower in Maine than elsewhere in the New England region. Representative Fitts observed that policy makers need to consider both the beneficial price control related effects and potential impediments to investment in energy development when addressing transmission congestion issues. Commissioner Adams noted that PUC has been directed to report to the Legislature in January 2008 concerning Maine's participation in ISO NE or New Brunswick grid and related matters (including transmission congestion). He noted that the draft report is due to be released in October 2007.
In response to a question, Commissioner Adams noted that the scenario analysis' conclusion (see p. 6) that additional incentives may be needed to encourage investment in wind power and other capital intensive sources does not really contradict the conclusion in PUC's 2005 study that existing incentives are adequate. He noted that in recent years turbine costs have gone up considerably as the demand for wind machines has increased. He further noted that in assessing wind projects' economics the ISO NE report does not include revenue streams available from renewable energy credits and the production tax credit. In response to a question, Commissioner Adams noted that, as with any regulatory subsidy, there is no guarantee that current renewable energy credits, e.g., those under Massachusetts and Connecticut law, will continue unchanged. Mitch Tannenbaum further clarified that additional financial incentives are not needed to generate interest in development of grid-scale wind projects in Maine, although they may be for smaller, community-scale projects.
Following up on issues raised in the small wind development panel, Commissioner Adams and Mr. Tannenbaum provided additional information regarding PUC's Boralex decision; the 5MW aggregation rule; and net metering. Commissioner Adams explained the Boralex decision as reflective of the law's seven part test on when a generator can produce and deliver power as part of a co-location arrangement. In general, he explained only a "utility" subject to the PUC's regulatory structure may deliver power to consumers. He opined that, with well-informed professional advice, co-location of wind generation involves manageable legal issues.
Mr. Tannenbaum explained that the 5MW aggregation rule effectively obligates a state transmission and deliver company (T&D), e.g., CMP, to aggregate power produced by small generators for purposes of sale to the existing standard offer provider. He explained that the current rule is meant to be revenue neutral (i.e., to avoid imposition of additional related costs to the standard offer provider or the T&D company) and that changes to create more favorable sales options for small wind power may raise policy and equity issues regarding risk and cost allocation.
Mr. Tannenbaum explained that under current law municipal electric co-ops may sell power to cover costs of serving their customers. He pointed out that the Fox Island co-op has express legislative authorization to sell power generated by its system which is sized (in excess of its customers' demand) to make it economic. He explained that net metering is a form of subsidy and increase of the current 100kw limit would involve a policy decision. He pointed out that economies of scale allow large projects to carry capital costs that are problematic for small-scale community projects.
V. Public Comments
Mr. Carter provided information on the city of Saco's experience with a small scale wind power project. He noted that the city is exploring options for increased use of wind power to address local needs. Mr. Carter explained that Saco has installed and is operating a 1.8 kw unit, which has generated interest in the community and other towns in other potential wind power applications to serve local purposes. He explained that Saco is now planning a project which would use a 100ft. tower on Factory Island (with a combined turbine/tower cost of about $150,000) and generate power at a cost of about $4/kw. He noted that Saco considers the project to have public relations benefits and intends to gauge public acceptance.
VI. Task Force Discussion and Next Steps
Chair Alec Giffen briefed the Task Force on the status plans for a site visit to the Mars Hill project and conduct a public meeting in the area, likely in October 2007. Mr. Giffen indicated that Drew Parkin is seeking to schedule the meeting to maximize opportunity for Task Force members to attend.
Mr. Giffen indicated that, as previously decided, the next Task Force meeting on September 26th would focus on siting issues. He indicated that staff plans to develop and distribute background materials discussing wind power siting-oriented recommendations concerning Maine as well as other jurisdictions in advance of the meeting. Mr. Giffen explained that presentations by DEP and LURC regarding their processes, standards and information requirements applicable to wind power projects, and consideration of differences between the agencies' respective approaches would be central to the meeting. Commissioner Littell suggested that it would be useful to invite participants in the LURC and DEP processes, e.g., developers and conservation groups, to provide their perspectives as well. There was general agreement to defer until after the September 26th meeting decision on whether a subcommittee to address siting issues would be useful.
Chip Ahrens noted as examples of the agencies' different approaches LURC 's requirement of a permit for a meteorological tower in situations where DEP does not require a permit and LURC's two-stage (preliminary and final approval) process for rezoning an area to planned development zone in order to build a wind project, as contrasted with a single DEP permit process for a comparable project. At Jody Jones' request, there was general confirmation by the Task Force that its discussion is not premised on the assumption that either the LURC or DEP review process or standards need to be changed. Ms. Jones indicated that in consultation with other stakeholders she has been developing two documents that may be useful for the Task Force: a proposed protocol regarding wildlife studies, completion of which is on hold pending determination of the need for peer review and a siting guidance study, which is nearing completion for distribution.
Following discussion, the Task Force agreed to establish a subcommittee to follow up on issues identified and potential means to address impediments to small scale wind power development. Representative MacDonald agreed to convene and chair the subcommittee. The Task Force identified environmental permitting requirements applicable to small wind projects and potential related costs (e.g., avian and bat studies) as among the topics for consideration by the subcommittee. Ms. Jones indicated that Maine Audubon might have ideas useful in this inquiry.
The Task Force discussed the following as potential topics or information for further consideration:
* Distinguishing regional utilities regulation-focused issues currently subject to other policy development processes from Maine-oriented wind power-specific issues which the Task Force may wish to explore further; and
* Consideration of Texas' approach to socializing certain of wind power's transmission related costs as a possible source of ideas
* Role and economic significance of renewable energy credits in financing grid-scale wind projects in Maine; and
* Additional information from PUC on targeted issues to ensure understanding of wind power's current and potential place in the regional and state energy mix
* Efficacy of demand side reduction (energy efficiency and conservation) in addressing RGGI targets and its relationship to gauging the need for new wind power or other renewable generation
* Exploration regulatory approaches in other jurisdictions to facilitate critique of and identification of options to improve Maine's current system